Mathew Carr

Greedy USA gets ready to steal another $135b meant for climate, nature protection + other sh!tfuckery (1)

The world is completely forgetting that grabby USA is still stealing an even more unfair portion of the limited global carbon budget ….and is not doing its fair share to cut emissions and fund adaptation…for the damage it has directly caused.

ChatGPT

https://ft.pressreader.com/article/281492167964604

The US exchanges corruptly changed their rules to boost Musk’s wealth more quickly … after he effectively blackmailed them; this should be disallowed; investors should get fair voting rights; existing shareholders of other companies are being abused and victimized here — there are victims!:

Ft.com

Notes

ChatGPT unchecked:

My best guess, based on current reporting, private-market valuations, and how mega-IPO sizing usually works:

Company

My probability they IPO in the next few months

My best guess for IPO proceeds

Notes

SpaceX

Very high

$60–90 billion

Could become the largest IPO ever. Current chatter clusters around ~$75B.  

OpenAI

Medium-low for “next few months”

$20–50 billion initially if it does happen

OpenAI can still raise gigantic private rounds, reducing urgency to IPO. It already reportedly raised ~$122B privately this year.  

Anthropic

Medium

$15–35 billion

Strong enterprise growth story, but likely smaller float than OpenAI.  

So my central estimate would be:

  • SpaceX: ~$75B
  • OpenAI: ~$35B
  • Anthropic: ~$25B

Combined: roughly $135 billion raised — if all three actually list within a relatively tight window.

That would utterly dwarf a normal tech IPO cycle. For comparison, the historic record remains Saudi Aramco at about $29B in 2019. SpaceX alone could exceed that by 2–3×.  

The bigger uncertainty is timing, not investor demand:

  • SpaceX now appears closest to reality, with fresh reporting around IPO paperwork and a possible 2026 listing window.  
  • OpenAI and Anthropic both still have access to essentially unlimited private capital, so they do not need public markets yet. Prediction-market chatter still leans toward delays for both.  

My rough odds:

  • SpaceX IPO by end of 2026: ~80%
  • OpenAI IPO by end of 2026: ~40%
  • Anthropic IPO by end of 2026: ~50%

One more thing: if all three hit public markets close together, they could absorb a huge share of global equity demand for months. Some analysts think they could collectively rival the total capital raised across many recent IPO years combined.  

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