Opinion by Mathew Carr
April 21-22, 2026 — Expect a deal that saves face on both sides.
Have the USA been in cahoots with Iran to boost oil prices globally and brutally create undersupply in an oversupplied market while stoking inflation for giant corporations and banks? You’ve partly emptied weapons stockpiles at huge taxpayer expense, Mr Trump, right? Quadruple win!
This awful deception against American and Iranian people — indeed against 8 billion people almost — seems unlikely ….until you follow the money and propaganda.
This published by the Telegraph midnight Tuesday night in London about four hours after I published this story:

Actually forget the WW2-like propaganda for a second….back to the “real” world:
President Trump repeatedly said the so-called Feb. 28 war, illegal as far as I can can see, would be over in 4-6 weeks.
If Mr Trump now restarts violence —- or lets his proxy Israel do that —- he is even more likely to be cast as a lying warmonger ahead of the US mid-term elections.
He will lose lawmaking ability.
More violence from now means big financial, political and ethical headaches. Credibility and poll ratings are already rock bottom.
Markets are clearly wanting and expecting peace.
Putting a time limit on a negotiation was a bad idea, as you should have known, Mr Trump. Yes …you knew this, Mr Trump.
So you have achieved your four ‘secret’ aims listed above! USA USA USA USA
Let me be clear about them.
- Higher oil prices and much bigger market share for the USA of the global crude market
- Higher inflation for giant corporations
- The prevention of lower interest rates for giant banks
- Massive shift of wealth from gormless taxpayers to military industrial complex
Indeed, all of these achieved aims are massive shifts of wealth away from ordinary folks of the world.
The only chance you have, Mr Trump, of not becoming a lame-duck president in November is to claim victory now and move on … however hollow that claim is.
Trump always chickens out (TACO)…at least when it comes to his deceptive stated aims. Trump always wins big (TAWB) for giant businesses … is another way of looking at it.
Iran probably is a brave victim.
Signs of hope yesterday, late afternoon London time … before the deceptive chickening out?

FT:


