CarrZee Chart: How the world may break through 2C temperature target level this year … and stay there

CarrZee guesstimate scenario based on last year’s temperature gains in the final 8 months of the year

Can anyone tell me the likelihood of my scenario? Base chart is from: https://climate.copernicus.eu/copernicus-global-temperature-record-streak-continues-april-2024-was-hottest-record

India, Africa, Middle East nations among countries already feeling the heat:

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