Chile in flux as Trump’s massive weapons buildup probably scared South America: ‘Latin Vietnam’ war? + green powerhouse (1)

South American nation vote followed New York City mayoral election….and shifting further left for Chile….is not guaranteed after adding together all right-leaning votes in yesterday’s first round….runoff vote planned for next month.

Elections held Sunday (Yesterday).

Source: Atlantic Council

Reuters: Chilean leftist Jara narrowly leads far-right’s Kast in first round presidential vote – https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/chilean-right-wing-eyes-return-power-crime-migration-dominate-election-2025-11-14/?utm_source=chatgpt.com

Context unchecked:

Chile is planning so many hydrogen plants because it is trying to position itself as one of the world’s lowest-cost, largest producers of green hydrogen. The strategy comes from a mix of geography, economics, and policy ambition:

🌞 1. Some of the best renewable energy resources on Earth

Chile has:

Atacama Desert → the highest solar radiation anywhere on the planet. Patagonia & Magallanes → world-class, constant winds (70%+ capacity factors).

This means Chile can produce extremely cheap renewable electricity — which is the main cost in green hydrogen. Lower electricity cost → lower hydrogen cost.

Chile’s government estimates it could produce among the world’s cheapest green hydrogen, potentially under $1.50/kg in the long run.

🚢 2. Perfect geography for exporting energy

Chile has long coastlines and existing port infrastructure.

Hydrogen can be exported as:

ammonia methanol synthetic fuels

Asia (Japan/Korea) and Europe (Germany/Netherlands) have all signed agreements with Chile for future supply.

🧭 3. National strategy to replace copper as an export pillar

Copper has always dominated Chile’s economy, but:

ore grades are falling mining emissions are under pressure the country wants a new “resource boom” that is clean

Hydrogen is seen as Chile’s next major export, potentially matching or surpassing mining revenue in the 2040s if global demand materializes.

🏭 4. Attracting foreign investment

Big developers — from Europe, the U.S., China, and the Middle East — are interested because:

Chile can host gigantic renewable hubs land availability and permitting are easier than in Europe long-term PPAs (power-purchase agreements) are possible Chile is politically stable by regional standards

Multiple multi-billion-dollar mega-projects have been proposed in Magallanes, where wind is extraordinary.

🔌 5. Chile wants hydrogen for domestic decarbonisation

Besides exporting, Chile wants to use green hydrogen to clean up:

mining trucks (massive diesel consumers) heavy industry fertilizers long-haul transport synthetic fuels for shipping & aviation

These sectors are hard to electrify directly.

🎯 6. A government target to be a global top-3 supplier

Chile’s official Green Hydrogen Strategy (2020, updated since) outlines:

5 GW of electrolysis capacity by 2025–2030 25 GW+ by 2040 becoming one of the three largest global exporters

Even if only a portion is built, it’s still huge relative to the country’s size.

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